The end of exile

The old “About JRE” page text: Your editor is an FX options trader, exiled in sunny Singapore. JRE is finance, politics, economics, and a little bit of travel photography on the side. The new “About JRE” page text:  Your editor is a former FX options trader, now working in a San Francisco software firm. JRE is finance, politics, economics, and a little bit of travel photography on the side.

Talk Nerdy To Me: Amazon EC2 backup shell script

Update: right, here’s a new version of the script that doesn’t spew when you run it as root. Update 2: made the path to /sbin/service explicit so that mysqld goes down properly. Update 3: here’s a text version without the silly smartquotes. Download it, change the extension to .sh, and go nuts. Update 4: oh just go look at it on Github As you may have noticed from the intermittent downtime, I’ve been screwing around with the josh.

Two thoughts on the DBS/Danamon deal

DBS Bank has just launched the largest ever banking M&A deal in south-east Asia, offering more than SGD 7 bio to buy Indonesia’s Bank Danamon (which is 67% owned by Temasek, the SWF that also owns a one-third stake in DBS). Two thoughts: 1) The hefty control premium - 50% above Bank Danamon’s pre-announcement price - means that DBS has effectively written a massive cheque to its own largest shareholder to get the deal done.

“China inflates bubble in obscure asset class” is the new “dog bites man”

The country that gave us bubbles in equities, jade, paintings, shares in paintings, table salt, fermented tea, fake French wine, 19th-century stamps and silver is now inflating a bubble in - hold your nose - dead-caterpillar fungus. The price of a pound of the fungus (which grows in the brain of infected caterpillars and is reputed to have aphrodisiac properties) has doubled in two years, and exchanges have been opened to trade these new “investment products”, but it’s not a bubble, no sir:

The Decline and Fall of the Sunshine Empire

Unless you read the Straits Times (and my deepest sympathies if you do), Sunshine Empire might be the biggest ponzi scheme you’ve never heard of. Between 2003 and late 2007, the company took in more than $180 million from investors in return for “lifestyle packages” and cash rebates. Of the $180 million, $115 million was paid back to investors, $40 million was handed out to directors as “interest-free loans”, and the rest - $25 million - just… disappeared.